Analysis, not fortune.
South Korea
11 stories
Third-placed Gangwon FC have conceded 6.7 fewer goals than their expected figure, and the last meeting with seventh-placed Incheon United ended 0-0. The two have drawn eight of 41 meetings.
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Pohang Steelers have beaten FC Anyang in four of their last five meetings, yet the visitors sit a place higher with 41 points to 40 and arrive reportedly fresh from a second straight win.
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Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors have the better expected-goals numbers but the weaker recent record, while Jeju SK won the last meeting 3-1 and have taken 1.8 points a match lately.
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Ulsan sit second on 47 points yet have lost 12 of 31 league games. Bucheon, 11th, have taken one point from their last three matches' worth of trouble: five defeats in their last ten.
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Ulsan HD arrive with 47 points and four wins in their last five league games bar one defeat. Gwangju FC have drawn 12 of 30 and are winless in 10.
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Gwangju FC trailed twice, led 4-2 and then survived a late Yago penalty to beat a side 29 points above them. A. D. B. Loua scored two of the four.
4–3
Tenth-placed Gimcheon have drawn 18 of 30 league games, while ninth-placed Anyang have conceded 24 goals in their last ten. The two sides drew both meetings this year.
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The leaders have scored 56 goals in 30 games, yet Jeju SK, third in K League 1, won four of the last five meetings between the clubs.
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Seventh meets eighth in K League 1, and Pohang have not lost any of the last five meetings. Incheon have drawn five of their last 10 league games.
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Fifth-placed Gangwon face 11th-placed Bucheon with 11 points between them, but Bucheon won the last meeting 3-0 and the underlying numbers favour the hosts more clearly than recent results do.
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Daejeon Hana Citizen have taken 2.0 points a match over their last ten, while Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors have conceded only 28 league goals all season. The two sides have drawn nine of their 28 meetings.
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