Analysis, not fortune.
Sweden
10 stories
Second-placed Djurgården have conceded 21 goals in 23 league games, while 11th-placed Brommapojkarna have let in 41. Both sides are missing a regular starter.
vs
Christos Almyras struck after nine minutes and Lien added a second in the 75th, while Jacob Rinne made three saves to keep Brommapojkarna out at Grimsta IP.
0–2
Leo Östman's second-half double, plus an assist, earned the highest match rating on the pitch as IF Elfsborg outshot Halmstads BK 18 to 9 and created 3.41 expected goals to 0.35.
4–0
Bo Åsulv Hegland scored on 45 minutes and goalkeeper Jacob Rinne did the rest, as Djurgården won the Stockholm derby despite having a third of the ball.
0–1
Both sides have conceded just six goals in their last 10 matches, yet Hammarby have beaten Djurgården far more often than they have lost to them. The two most recent meetings finished 3-3 and 1-1.
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Sirius lead Allsvenskan by 21 points over tenth-placed GAIS, yet the betting market still gives the hosts a slightly better chance of winning. Home sides have won each of the last five meetings.
vs
Thirteen wins and four draws make this a one-sided series, yet both sides concede more than they score in expected terms. Eighth hosts 11th in Allsvenskan on Matchday 23.
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Brommapojkarna led 5-1 after 70 minutes, watched AIK score four times, then won it with the last touch of a derby that had 11 goals. Kamilcan Sever scored twice and took the best match rating, 8.9.
5–6
IFK Göteborg, ninth, host sixth-placed Västerås SK with a 5-4 win in May as the last word between them. Their expected goals say they deserve better than a goal difference of minus 10.
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IFK Göteborg beat Västerås SK 1-0 with one early goal and a defence that held firm, while the visitors had four times as many shots and finished with ten men.
1–0