AIK have never lost to Brommapojkarna in 17 meetings

The state of play

AIK have faced IF Brommapojkarna 17 times and have not lost once. That record frames a meeting between eighth and 11th in Allsvenskan, separated by six points: 33 for AIK, 27 for the visitors, after 22 matches each.

AIK have won nine, drawn six and lost seven, with a goal difference of -3. Brommapojkarna have won seven, drawn six and lost nine, with a goal difference of -6.

The latest five league results read L-D-L-D-W for AIK and L-L-W-L-W for Brommapojkarna. Neither side arrives with a settled run: AIK's sequence holds one win in five, and the visitors' holds two.

Head to head

Of the 17 meetings, AIK have won 13 and four have been drawn. Brommapojkarna have never won, and those games have averaged 3.53 goals.

The last five fit that pattern. AIK won 2-1 at home in September 2025 and 2-1 again in August 2024, and won 1-0 away in May 2025. The two most recent draws were both 2-2, the latest on 13 April, so Brommapojkarna have found goals even without finding a win.

The numbers behind it

Over the last 10 matches AIK have won four, drawn three and lost three, scoring 15 and conceding 16, an average of 1.5 points a match. Brommapojkarna have won three, drawn two and lost five, scoring 13 and conceding 17, an average of 1.1.

Expected goals show two sides that concede chances at a similar rate. AIK have created 31.9 xG and allowed 38.3, against 31 goals scored and 34 conceded. Brommapojkarna have created 27.1 and allowed 34.4, against 30 scored and 36 conceded.

Both teams have scored fewer goals than they have allowed in expected terms, and AIK's attack has the higher output by xG: 31.9 to 27.1.

Our view

The betting market implies about 48% for an AIK win, 25% for a draw and 27% for a Brommapojkarna win. Our model lands in almost the same place: 48%, 25% and 27%. The gap between the two is too small to read anything into.

Both estimates point to a game with goals. The market puts over 2.5 goals at about 58% and both teams scoring at 60%; our model has 59% and 60%. That fits the 3.53 goals a game in this fixture's history. Football is high-variance, and these are estimates rather than predictions.