The state of play
RS Berkane are 14th with two points from two matches, both draws, and both goalless. They have not scored or conceded, which makes them an odd case: their expected goals for is 2.5, against 1.2 for their opponents. The chances have come. The finishing has not.
Renaissance Zemamra sit 16th with no points from three matches. They have lost all three, scored three and conceded eight, a goal difference of minus five. Their expected goals against is 5.1, so the defensive problem is not simply bad luck: the chances they have allowed back up the scoreline.
Over their last 10 matches Berkane have won four, drawn four and lost two, scoring 11 and conceding seven, for 1.6 points a match. Zemamra have won one, drawn four and lost five, scoring 12 and conceding 18, for 0.7 points a match.
Head to head
Berkane have won six of the eight meetings and Zemamra two, with no draws. The sides have averaged 2.38 goals a game.
Berkane have won four of the last five. They took 1-0 home wins on 24 May and in February 2025, and won 2-1 and 3-1 away at Zemamra in between. Zemamra's only win in that run came in June 2024, when they won 2-1 at Berkane.
The numbers behind it
The contrast is clear in attack and defence. Berkane's two clean sheets and 1.2 expected goals against suggest a solid back line, though they have yet to turn pressure into goals. Their 2.5 xG from two matches works out at 1.25 a game.
Zemamra have been more productive at the other end than their results suggest. Their 3.4 xG across three matches is about 1.13 a game, slightly ahead of their three goals. Defensively they are conceding 2.7 goals a match, and the expected figure of 1.7 a match shows the gap would still be wide if the finishing against them were less sharp.
Football is high-variance, and two or three matches is a small sample. Even so, Berkane's recent record and the head-to-head history point the same way, while Zemamra still have to show they can limit the chances they give away.