Numbers
- Market prob.
- 67%
- Fair odds
- 1.49
- Bookmaker margin
- 7.6%
- Bookmakers
- 7
Football · 8 October 2026
Football double · odds 2.59
A double at about 2.59 combined odds: CFR Cluj not to lose at home to a struggling away side, plus under 2.5 goals in a low-scoring KuPS–Oulu match in Finland.
What to play
- Odds
- 2.59
- Selections
- 2
Numbers
- Market prob.
- 50%
- Fair odds
- 1.99
- Bookmaker margin
- 5.6%
- Bookmakers
- 6
Why this pick
CFR Cluj have gone W4 D1 L1 in their last 6 home games, scoring 12 and conceding 6. FC Universitatea Cluj have W1 D1 L4 in their last 6 away games, scoring 4 and conceding 10. The market puts CFR-or-draw at 66.9% (median 1.38), which looks slightly low given that venue split.
The numbers behind it
- Double chance 1X: bookmaker consensus 67% (fair odds 1.49, offered 1.38) · analyst estimate 70% · 7 bookmakers · analyst-1.0.0
- Price: a dearer-than-usual price. At 1.38 the bookmaker keeps about 7.6% of the stake on this leg.
- Combined probability on the market's numbers: 34%
- Model analyst-1.0.0 · data quality high
Read the full analysis
The first leg is CFR Cluj or the draw against FC Universitatea Cluj. The home-and-away split is clear: CFR are W4 D1 L1 in their last 6 home games, while Universitatea have won only once in their last 6 away games and conceded 10 goals. The market gives this outcome 66.9%, close to the short-priced home band that has held up well in our archive, and we rate it a little higher.
The main risk with that leg is the season data. Universitatea's xG for is 17.4 against 11.9 conceded, a better underlying profile than CFR's 12.8 for and 13.2 against. Their recent results also include two wins, so they can win this. That is why we take the double chance rather than a CFR win.
The second leg is under 2.5 goals in Kuopion Palloseura v AC Oulu. Both sides' recent games have been low-scoring. KuPS scored 6 and conceded 6 in their last six, with 1.11 xG per match. Oulu scored 4 and conceded 7, and average 8.5 shots. A price close to an even split between under and over looks a little generous.
The risk on the under is the head-to-head record. The last 17 meetings averaged 3.12 goals, and they include a 3-2 and a 2-2 among the most recent four. Oulu have also conceded 10 in their last 6 away games, so if KuPS score early the game could open up.
For the slip to land, CFR need to avoid defeat at home, and KuPS v Oulu needs to end with two goals or fewer. Combined median odds are about 2.59, inside the preferred band.
Prediction, odds, and model version remain attached to the original publication. Live updates never alter the suggestion.